WNBA first basket predictions for Tuesday include Napheesa Collier, A'ja Wilson [9/23/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, September 23, 2025, have landed—with Napheesa Collier of the Lynx the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's first basket predictions pull from our proprietary WNBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [September 23, 2025]

Player (Team)	FB Probability
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)	15.6%
A'ja Wilson (Aces)	15.5%
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)	13.7%
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)	🔒
Courtney Williams (Lynx)	🔒
Kahleah Copper (Mercury)	🔒
Jackie Young (Aces)	🔒
Aliyah Boston (Fever)	🔒
Natasha Howard (Fever)	🔒
Satou Sabally (Mercury)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket tonight is Napheesa Collier, with a probability of 15.6%.

Following Collier closely are A'ja Wilson at 15.5% and Kelsey Mitchell at 13.7%.

Alyssa Thomas and Courtney Williams are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Tuesday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to today’s WNBA player projections and scroll across to the “FB” column to see every player’s probability of scoring the first basket.

Best WNBA first basket picks [9/23/2025]

Having simulated the result of today's WNBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model has generated the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Tuesday.

Odyssey Sims first basket scorer

• Odds: +1500
• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 9.2%
• Matchup: Fever vs. Aces (9:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Tuesday, which is in the game between the Fever and Aces. The bet is on Odyssey Sims (IND) at odds of +1500 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.9% according to our analysis.

Although Sims doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Tuesday's WNBA slate, she does present the best betting opportunity for those searching for an edge on the market.

For more expert WNBA picks and data-led WNBA predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to all of today's first basket predictions, plus projected box scores for every player—perfect for building smarter WNBA parlays.

WNBA Playoffs schedule for today [9/23/2025]

• Mercury vs. Lynx (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
• Fever vs. Aces (9:30PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

For September 23, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions spotlight big-name players like Napheesa Collier, A'ja Wilson and Kelsey Mitchell—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Odyssey Sims who emerges as the top pick, showing a calculated 2.9% edge at +1500 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable starting point for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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