WNBA first basket predictions for Saturday include Kelsey Mitchell, Dearica Hamby [8/9/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Saturday, August 9, 2025, have landed—with Kelsey Mitchell of the Fever the most likely player to score the first basket according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Saturday's first basket predictions pull from our proprietary WNBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [August 9, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Saturday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)	15.5%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)	13.9%
Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)	12.3%
Natasha Howard (Fever)	🔒
Elizabeth Williams (Sky)	🔒
Ariel Atkins (Sky)	🔒
Rickea Jackson (Sparks)	🔒
Kelsey Plum (Sparks)	🔒
Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries)	🔒
Azura Stevens (Sparks)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Kelsey Mitchell, with a probability of 15.5%.

Following Mitchell closely are Dearica Hamby at 13.9% and Janelle Salaun at 12.3%.

Natasha Howard and Elizabeth Williams are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Saturday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to today’s WNBA player projections and scroll across to the “FB” column to see every player’s probability of scoring the first basket.

Best WNBA first basket picks [8/9/2025]

Having simulated the result of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Saturday.

Kelsey Mitchell first basket scorer

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 15.5%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Fever (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Sky and Fever. The bet is on Kelsey Mitchell (IND) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.0% according to our analysis.

Not only does Mitchell present an edge according to our model, but she is also the number one most likely first basket scorer for today, as noted in the list above.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [8/9/2025]

• Sky vs. Fever (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Sparks vs. Valkyries (8:30PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

For August 9, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions showcase standout players including Kelsey Mitchell, Dearica Hamby and Janelle Salaun—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Kelsey Mitchell who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 3.0% edge at +700 odds.

These projections are the result of 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable basis for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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