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WNBA first basket predictions for Friday include Nneka Ogwumike, Paige Bueckers [8/8/2025]
Our expert analysis on Friday's WNBA first basket market.

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Friday, August 8, 2025, have landed—with Nneka Ogwumike of the Storm the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Friday's first basket predictions pull from our proprietary WNBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.
Who will score the first basket tonight? [August 8, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Friday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm) | 16.3% |
A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 16.0% |
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 14.5% |
Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 🔒 |
Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 🔒 |
Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 🔒 |
Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 🔒 |
Jessica Shepard (Lynx) | 🔒 |
Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 🔒 |
Jackie Young (Aces) | 🔒 |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Nneka Ogwumike, with a probability of 16.3%.
Following Ogwumike closely are A'ja Wilson at 16.0% and Sabrina Ionescu at 14.5%.
Kiki Iriafen and Paige Bueckers are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Friday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to today’s WNBA player projections and scroll across to the “FB” column to see every player’s probability of scoring the first basket.

Best WNBA first basket picks [8/8/2025]
Having simulated the result of today's WNBA matchups 10K times each, our leading predictive analytics model has generated the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Friday.
Haley Jones first basket scorer
- Odds: +1300
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 10%
- Matchup: Liberty vs. Wings (7:30PM ET)
Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Liberty and Wings. The bet is on Haley Jones (DAL) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.8% according to our analysis.
Our model not only showcases Jones for her 2.8% betting edge but also ranks her among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the earlier list.
For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
WNBA schedule for today [8/8/2025]
- Liberty vs. Wings (7:30PM ET, Friday)
- Mystics vs. Lynx (7:30PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
For August 8, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions showcase star players including Nneka Ogwumike, A'ja Wilson and Shakira Austin—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Haley Jones who emerges as the top pick, showing a calculated 2.8% edge at +1300 odds.
These projections are the result of 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable base for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.
For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.
This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.
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