WNBA first basket predictions for Thursday include Kelsey Mitchell, Elizabeth Williams [8/7/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Thursday, August 7, 2025, have landed—with Kelsey Mitchell of the Fever the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Thursday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [August 7, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Thursday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)	14.6%
Tina Charles (Sun)	13.7%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)	13.5%
Brionna Jones (Dream)	🔒
Elizabeth Williams (Sky)	🔒
Kahleah Copper (Mercury)	🔒
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)	🔒
Satou Sabally (Mercury)	🔒
Ariel Atkins (Sky)	🔒
Natasha Howard (Fever)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Kelsey Mitchell, with a probability of 14.6%.

Following Mitchell closely are Tina Charles at 13.7% and Dearica Hamby at 13.5%.

Brionna Jones and Elizabeth Williams are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Thursday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [8/7/2025]

Having simulated the result of today's WNBA matchups thousands of times each, our independent predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Thursday.

Kelsey Mitchell first basket scorer

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 14.6%
• Game: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Thursday's WNBA slate in the game between the Fever and Mercury. The bet is on Kelsey Mitchell (IND) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.5% according to our analysis.

Dimers' model not only features Mitchell for her 3.5% betting edge but also ranks her as the number one most likely first basket scorer for today, as seen in the above list.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [8/7/2025]

• Dream vs. Sky (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

For August 7, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions highlight standout players including Kelsey Mitchell, Tina Charles and Dearica Hamby—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Kelsey Mitchell who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 3.5% edge at +800 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable foundation for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.