WNBA first basket predictions for Tuesday include Kelsey Mitchell, Tina Charles [8/5/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, August 5, 2025, have landed—with Kelsey Mitchell of the Fever the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [August 5, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Tuesday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)	16.6%
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)	16.3%
Tina Charles (Sun)	13.6%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)	🔒
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)	🔒
Shakira Austin (Mystics)	🔒
Jessica Shepard (Lynx)	🔒
Paige Bueckers (Wings)	🔒
Kayla McBride (Lynx)	🔒
Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Kelsey Mitchell, with a probability of 16.6%.

Following Mitchell closely are Nneka Ogwumike at 16.3% and Tina Charles at 13.6%.

Dearica Hamby and Alyssa Thomas are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Tuesday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [8/5/2025]

After simulating the outcome of today's WNBA matchups 10,000 times each, our trusted predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Tuesday.

Kelsey Mitchell first basket scorer

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 16.6%
• Matchup: Fever vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Fever and Sparks. The bet is on Kelsey Mitchell (IND) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.8% according to our analysis.

Not only does Mitchell present an edge according to our model, but she is also the number one most likely first basket scorer for today, as noted in the list above.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [8/5/2025]

• Wings vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mystics vs. Sky (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Fever vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Lynx vs. Storm (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

For August 5, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions feature standout players such as Kelsey Mitchell, Nneka Ogwumike and Tina Charles—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Kelsey Mitchell who emerges as the top play, producing a calculated 4.8% edge at +750 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable base for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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