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WNBA first basket predictions for Wednesday include A'ja Wilson, Sabrina Ionescu [8/13/2025]
Our expert analysis on Wednesday's WNBA first basket market.

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, August 13, 2025, have landed—with Nneka Ogwumike of the Storm the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Wednesday's first basket predictions come from our WNBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.
Who will score the first basket tonight? [August 13, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Wednesday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm) | 16.3% |
A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 15.5% |
Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 13.8% |
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 🔒 |
Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 🔒 |
Brionna Jones (Dream) | 🔒 |
Jackie Young (Aces) | 🔒 |
Brittney Griner (Dream) | 🔒 |
Allisha Gray (Dream) | 🔒 |
Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 🔒 |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Nneka Ogwumike, with a probability of 16.3%.
Following Ogwumike closely are A'ja Wilson at 15.5% and Kiki Iriafen at 13.8%.
Sabrina Ionescu and Jackie Young are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Wednesday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to today’s WNBA player projections and scroll across to the “FB” column to see every player’s probability of scoring the first basket.

Best WNBA First Basket Picks and Parlay [8/13/2025]
Having simulated the result of today's WNBA matchups thousands of times each, our leading predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket parlay bet to make for Wednesday, featuring Dimers' highest probability and best value play.
First Basket Value Bet: Leila Lacan to Score First Basket
- Odds: +1400
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 10.9%
- Game: Sky vs. Sun (7:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Wednesday's WNBA slate in the game between the Sun and Sky. The bet is on Leila Lacan (CONN) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.2% according to our analysis.
Our model not only highlights Lacan for her 4.2% betting edge but also ranks her among the highest probability scorers in this game.
Most Likely First Basket Bet: Nneka Ogwumike to Score First Basket
- Odds: +550
- Edge: %
- Probability: 16.3%
- Game: Dream vs. Sun (10:00PM ET)
For the most likely player to score the first basket across all games on Wednesday, our model identifies Nneka Ogwumike of the Storm at odds of +550 on FanDuel Sportsbook, with a probability of 16.3%, almost a full percent higher than tonight's next-most likely player.
Pair these two picks together for a big-time +9650 WNBA First Basket parlay on FanDuel Sportsbook!
For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
WNBA schedule for today [8/13/2025]
- Sun vs. Sky (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Valkyries vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Wednesday).
- Liberty vs. Aces (9:30PM ET, Wednesday)
- Dream vs. Storm (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
For August 13, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions showcase big-name players including Kelsey Mitchell, Dearica Hamby and Sabrina Ionescu—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Haley Jones who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 2.3% edge at +1300 odds.
These projections are the result of 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable basis for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.
For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.
This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.
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