WNBA first basket predictions for Tuesday include Kelsey Mitchell, Dearica Hamby [8/12/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, August 12, 2025, have landed—with Kelsey Mitchell of the Fever the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's first basket predictions come from our WNBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [August 12, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Tuesday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)	15.4%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)	14.9%
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)	14.0%
Paige Bueckers (Wings)	🔒
Azura Stevens (Sparks)	🔒
Rickea Jackson (Sparks)	🔒
Kelsey Plum (Sparks)	🔒
Haley Jones (Wings)	🔒
Arike Ogunbowale (Wings)	🔒
Sophie Cunningham (Fever)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Kelsey Mitchell, with a probability of 15.4%.

Following Mitchell closely are Dearica Hamby at 14.9% and Sabrina Ionescu at 14.0%.

Paige Bueckers and Azura Stevens are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Tuesday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to today’s WNBA player projections and scroll across to the “FB” column to see every player’s probability of scoring the first basket.

Best WNBA first basket picks [8/12/2025]

Having simulated the result of today's WNBA matchups thousands of times each, our leading predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Tuesday.

Haley Jones first basket scorer

• Odds: +1300
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 9.5%
• Game: Wings vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Tuesday's WNBA slate in the game between the Wings and Fever. The bet is on Haley Jones (DAL) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.3% according to our analysis.

Our model not only highlights Jones for her 2.3% betting edge but also ranks her among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the preceding list.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [8/12/2025]

• Wings vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
• Liberty vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

For August 12, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions showcase big-name players including Kelsey Mitchell, Dearica Hamby and Sabrina Ionescu—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Haley Jones who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 2.3% edge at +1300 odds.

These projections are the result of 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable basis for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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