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WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday include Nneka Ogwumike, Kiki Iriafen [8/10/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert analysis on Sunday's WNBA first basket market.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today.
The most likely WNBA first basket scorers for Sunday have been revealed.

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday, August 10, 2025, have landed—with Nneka Ogwumike of the Storm the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's first basket predictions come straight from our WNBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.


Who will score the first basket tonight? [August 10, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Sunday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm) 16.8%
Paige Bueckers (Wings) 15.2%
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) 14.1%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks) 🔒
Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) 🔒
Courtney Williams (Lynx) 🔒
Tina Charles (Sun) 🔒
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) 🔒
Kahleah Copper (Mercury) 🔒
Jackie Young (Aces) 🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Nneka Ogwumike, with a probability of 16.8%.

Following Ogwumike closely are Paige Bueckers at 15.2% and Sabrina Ionescu at 14.1%.

Dearica Hamby and Kiki Iriafen are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Sunday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to today’s WNBA player projections and scroll across to the “FB” column to see every player’s probability of scoring the first basket.

Best WNBA first basket picks [8/10/2025]

Having simulated the outcome of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model has generated the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Sunday.

Bria Hartley first basket scorer

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Sun and Aces. The bet is on Bria Hartley (CONN) at odds of +1700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.4% according to our analysis.

Although Hartley doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Sunday's WNBA slate, she does present the best betting opportunity for those aiming for an edge on the market.

 

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [8/10/2025]

Conclusion

For August 10, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions feature standout players including Nneka Ogwumike, Paige Bueckers and Sabrina Ionescu—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Bria Hartley who emerges as the top pick, offering a calculated 4.4% edge at +1700 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable foundation for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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