WNBA first basket predictions for Friday include Kelsey Mitchell, Janelle Salaun [8/1/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Friday, August 1, 2025, are live—with Kelsey Mitchell of the Fever the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [August 1, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Friday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)	15.6%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)	14.8%
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)	13.6%
Elizabeth Williams (Sky)	🔒
Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)	🔒
Tina Charles (Sun)	🔒
Kahleah Copper (Mercury)	🔒
Aneesah Morrow (Sun)	🔒
Azura Stevens (Sparks)	🔒
Rachel Banham (Sky)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Kelsey Mitchell, with a probability of 15.6%.

Following Mitchell closely are Dearica Hamby at 14.8% and Alyssa Thomas at 13.6%.

Elizabeth Williams and Janelle Salaun are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Friday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [8/1/2025]

After simulating the result of today's WNBA matchups 10,000 times each, our leading predictive analytics model has discovered the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Friday.

Bria Hartley first basket scorer

• Odds: +1700
• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 9.4%
• Matchup: Liberty vs. Sun (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Friday's WNBA slate in the game between the Liberty and Sun. The bet is on Bria Hartley (CONN) at odds of +1700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.8% according to our analysis.

Although Hartley doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Friday's WNBA slate, she does present the best betting opportunity for those aiming for an edge on the market.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [8/1/2025]

• Liberty vs. Sun (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Fever vs. Wings (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Valkyries vs. Sky (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Mercury vs. Dream (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Sparks vs. Storm (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

For August 1, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions spotlight star players such as Kelsey Mitchell, Dearica Hamby and Alyssa Thomas—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Bria Hartley who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 3.8% edge at +1700 odds.

These projections are the result of 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable base for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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