WNBA first basket predictions for Wednesday include Napheesa Collier, Kelsey Mitchell [7/30/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, July 30, 2025, have landed—with Napheesa Collier of the Lynx the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Wednesday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [July 30, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Wednesday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)	16.4%
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)	16.2%
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)	12.9%
Paige Bueckers (Wings)	🔒
Brittney Griner (Dream)	🔒
Courtney Williams (Lynx)	🔒
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)	🔒
Natasha Howard (Fever)	🔒
Brionna Jones (Dream)	🔒
Kahleah Copper (Mercury)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Napheesa Collier, with a probability of 16.4%.

Following Collier closely are Kelsey Mitchell at 16.2% and Sabrina Ionescu at 12.9%.

Paige Bueckers and Brittney Griner are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Wednesday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/30/2025]

After simulating the result of today's WNBA matchups 10,000 times each, our predictive model has found the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Wednesday.

Kelsey Mitchell first basket scorer

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 16.2%
• Game: Mercury vs. Fever (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Mercury and Fever. The bet is on Kelsey Mitchell (IND) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.5% according to our analysis.

Dimers' model not only highlights Mitchell for her 4.5% betting edge but also ranks her among the top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the above list.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [7/30/2025]

• Mercury vs. Fever (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Liberty vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Dream vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

For July 30, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions showcase standout players like Napheesa Collier, Kelsey Mitchell and Sabrina Ionescu—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Kelsey Mitchell who emerges as the top pick, producing a calculated 4.5% edge at +750 odds.

These projections are the result of 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable foundation for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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