WNBA first basket predictions for Monday include Nneka Ogwumike, Sabrina Ionescu [7/28/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Monday, July 28, 2025, are live—with Nneka Ogwumike of the Storm the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Monday's first basket predictions come from our WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [July 28, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Monday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)	14.4%
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)	13.6%
Paige Bueckers (Wings)	12.9%
Tina Charles (Sun)	🔒
Jonquel Jones (Liberty)	🔒
Marina Mabrey (Sun)	🔒
Gabby Williams (Storm)	🔒
Natasha Cloud (Liberty)	🔒
Arike Ogunbowale (Wings)	🔒
Bria Hartley (Sun)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Nneka Ogwumike, with a probability of 14.4%.

Following Ogwumike closely are Sabrina Ionescu at 13.6% and Paige Bueckers at 12.9%.

Tina Charles and Jonquel Jones are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Monday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/28/2025]

Having simulated the outcome of today's WNBA matchups thousands of times each, our trusted predictive analytics model has discovered the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Monday.

Bria Hartley first basket scorer

• Odds: +1800
• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 9.3%
• Game: Storm vs. Sun (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Storm and Sun. The bet is on Bria Hartley (CONN) at odds of +1800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.0% according to our analysis.

Not only does Hartley present an edge according to the model, but she is also among our top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [7/28/2025]

• Storm vs. Sun (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Liberty vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

For July 28, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions highlight big-name players including Nneka Ogwumike, Sabrina Ionescu and Paige Bueckers—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Bria Hartley who emerges as the top pick, offering a calculated 4.0% edge at +1800 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable foundation for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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