WNBA first basket predictions for Friday include A'ja Wilson, Paige Bueckers [7/25/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Friday, July 25, 2025, are live—with A'ja Wilson of the Aces the most likely player to score the first basket according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's first basket predictions come straight from our WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [July 25, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Friday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
A'ja Wilson (Aces)	18.2%
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)	16.1%
Courtney Williams (Lynx)	12.4%
Paige Bueckers (Wings)	🔒
Breanna Stewart (Liberty)	🔒
Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries)	🔒
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)	🔒
Jonquel Jones (Liberty)	🔒
Kahleah Copper (Mercury)	🔒
JJ Quinerly (Wings)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is A'ja Wilson, with a probability of 18.2%.

Following Wilson closely are Napheesa Collier at 16.1% and Courtney Williams at 12.4%.

Paige Bueckers and Breanna Stewart are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Friday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/25/2025]

After simulating the outcome of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has discovered the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Friday.

Courtney Williams first basket scorer

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 12.4%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Lynx (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Aces and Lynx. The bet is on Courtney Williams (MIN) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.9% according to our analysis.

Dimers' model not only features Williams for her 2.9% betting edge but also ranks her among the top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the earlier list.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [7/25/2025]

• Aces vs. Lynx (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Mercury vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Wings vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

For July 25, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions spotlight big-name players like A'ja Wilson, Napheesa Collier and Courtney Williams—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Courtney Williams who emerges as the top pick, offering a calculated 2.9% edge at +950 odds.

These projections are the result of 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable base for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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