WNBA first basket predictions for Thursday include A'ja Wilson, Angel Reese [7/24/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Thursday, July 24, 2025, are live—with A'ja Wilson of the Aces the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Thursday's first basket predictions come straight from our WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [July 24, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Thursday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
A'ja Wilson (Aces)	18.2%
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)	15.0%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)	14.0%
Angel Reese (Sky)	🔒
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)	🔒
Azura Stevens (Sparks)	🔒
Natasha Howard (Fever)	🔒
Rickea Jackson (Sparks)	🔒
Aliyah Boston (Fever)	🔒
Jackie Young (Aces)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is A'ja Wilson, with a probability of 18.2%.

Following Wilson closely are Kelsey Mitchell at 15.0% and Dearica Hamby at 14.0%.

Angel Reese and Nneka Ogwumike are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Thursday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/24/2025]

Having simulated the outcome of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Thursday.

Kelsey Mitchell first basket scorer

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 15%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Fever (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Aces and Fever. The bet is on Kelsey Mitchell (IND) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.5% according to our analysis.

Not only does Mitchell present an edge according to our model, but she is also among our top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [7/24/2025]

• Aces vs. Fever (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Sparks vs. Sun (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Storm vs. Sky (8:30PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

For July 24, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions feature star players like A'ja Wilson, Kelsey Mitchell and Dearica Hamby—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Kelsey Mitchell who emerges as the top pick, producing a calculated 4.5% edge at +850 odds.

These projections are the result of 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable starting point for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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