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WNBA first basket predictions for Wednesday include Brionna Jones, Alyssa Thomas [7/23/2025]
Our expert analysis on Wednesday's WNBA first basket market.

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, July 23, 2025, are live—with Brionna Jones of the Dream the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Wednesday's first basket predictions come from our WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.
Who will score the first basket tonight? [July 23, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Wednesday's WNBA game 10,000 times, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Brionna Jones (Dream) | 12.6% |
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 11.9% |
Satou Sabally (Mercury) | 11.2% |
Brittney Griner (Dream) | 🔒 |
Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 🔒 |
Sami Whitcomb (Mercury) | 🔒 |
Jordin Canada (Dream) | 🔒 |
Maya Caldwell (Dream) | 🔒 |
Allisha Gray (Dream) | 🔒 |
Kathryn Westbeld (Mercury) | 🔒 |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in Wednesday's clash is Brionna Jones, with a probability of 12.6%.
Following Jones closely are Alyssa Thomas at 11.9% and Satou Sabally at 11.2%.
Brittney Griner and Kahleah Copper are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Wednesday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.
Best WNBA first basket picks [7/23/2025]
Having simulated the result of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has discovered the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Wednesday.
Sami Whitcomb first basket scorer
- Odds: +1300
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 10.1%
- Game: Dream vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Dream and Mercury. The bet is on Sami Whitcomb (PHX) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.9% according to our analysis.
For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
WNBA schedule for today [7/23/2025]
- Dream vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
For July 23, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions showcase star players like Brionna Jones, Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Sami Whitcomb who emerges as the top play, offering a calculated 2.9% edge at +1300 odds.
These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable foundation for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.
For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.
This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.
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