WNBA first basket predictions for Tuesday include A'ja Wilson, Paige Bueckers [7/22/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, July 22, 2025, have landed—with A'ja Wilson of the Aces the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's first basket predictions pull from our proprietary WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [July 22, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Tuesday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
A'ja Wilson (Aces)	17.7%
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)	16.2%
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)	14.9%
Shakira Austin (Mystics)	🔒
Paige Bueckers (Wings)	🔒
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)	🔒
Angel Reese (Sky)	🔒
Courtney Williams (Lynx)	🔒
Azura Stevens (Sparks)	🔒
Brionna Jones (Dream)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is A'ja Wilson, with a probability of 17.7%.

Following Wilson closely are Napheesa Collier at 16.2% and Kelsey Mitchell at 14.9%.

Shakira Austin and Paige Bueckers are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Tuesday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/22/2025]

After simulating the result of today's WNBA matchups thousands of times each, our independent predictive analytics model has generated the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Tuesday.

Kelsey Mitchell first basket scorer

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 14.9%
• Matchup: Fever vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Fever and Liberty. The bet is on Kelsey Mitchell (IND) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 6.6% according to our analysis.

Not only does Mitchell present an edge according to our model, but she is also among our top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [7/22/2025]

• Sparks vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
• Fever vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Sky vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Dream vs. Aces (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

For July 22, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions feature standout players including A'ja Wilson, Napheesa Collier and Kelsey Mitchell—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Kelsey Mitchell who emerges as the top play, producing a calculated 6.6% edge at +1100 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable base for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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