WNBA first basket predictions for Monday include Napheesa Collier, Kamilla Cardoso [7/14/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Monday, July 14, 2025, have landed—with Napheesa Collier of the Lynx the most likely player to score the first basket according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Monday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [July 14, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Monday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)	15.6%
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)	14.3%
Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)	13.1%
Courtney Williams (Lynx)	🔒
Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)	🔒
Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries)	🔒
Kayla Thornton (Valkyries)	🔒
Angel Reese (Sky)	🔒
Ariel Atkins (Sky)	🔒
Temi Fagbenle (Valkyries)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Napheesa Collier, with a probability of 15.6%.

Following Collier closely are Alyssa Thomas at 14.3% and Kamilla Cardoso at 13.1%.

Courtney Williams and Sami Whitcomb are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Monday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/14/2025]

Having simulated the outcome of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Monday.

Courtney Williams first basket scorer

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 12.7%
• Game: Lynx vs. Sky (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Monday's WNBA slate in the game between the Lynx and Sky. The bet is on Courtney Williams (MIN) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.2% according to our analysis.

Not only does Williams present an edge according to the model, but she is also among our top five most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [7/14/2025]

• Lynx vs. Sky (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Mercury vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

For July 14, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions showcase star players like Napheesa Collier, Alyssa Thomas and Kamilla Cardoso—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Courtney Williams who emerges as the top pick, offering a calculated 2.2% edge at +850 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable foundation for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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