WNBA first basket predictions for Thursday include Napheesa Collier, Shakira Austin [7/10/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Thursday, July 10, 2025, have landed—with Napheesa Collier of the Lynx the most likely player to score the first basket according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Thursday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for July 10, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Thursday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)	16.0%
Shakira Austin (Mystics)	14.8%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)	13.5%
Courtney Williams (Lynx)	🔒
Azura Stevens (Sparks)	🔒
Jackie Young (Aces)	🔒
Rickea Jackson (Sparks)	🔒
Sonia Citron (Mystics)	🔒
Brittney Sykes (Mystics)	🔒
Kelsey Plum (Sparks)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Napheesa Collier, with a probability of 16.0%.

Following Collier closely are Shakira Austin at 14.8% and Dearica Hamby at 13.5%.

Courtney Williams and Azura Stevens are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Thursday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/10/2025]

After simulating the outcome of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model has generated the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Thursday.

Courtney Williams first basket scorer

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 13.5%
• Game: Lynx vs. Sparks (3:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Thursday's WNBA slate in the game between the Lynx and Sparks. The bet is on Courtney Williams (MIN) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.4% according to our analysis.

Not only does Williams present an edge according to the model, but she is also among our top five most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [7/10/2025]

• Lynx vs. Sparks (3:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Aces vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

For July 10, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions spotlight standout players like Napheesa Collier, Shakira Austin and Dearica Hamby—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Courtney Williams who emerges as the top pick, offering a calculated 2.4% edge at +800 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable starting point for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.