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WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday include Kelsey Mitchell, Courtney Williams [9/28/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of Sunday's WNBA slate.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today.
Our WNBA first basket predictions for September 28, 2025, are based on Sunday's latest data and matchups.

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday, September 28, 2025, are live—with Kelsey Mitchell of the Fever the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's first basket predictions come straight from our WNBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [September 28, 2025]

Player (Team) FB Probability
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) 16.1%
A'ja Wilson (Aces) 14.9%
Courtney Williams (Lynx) 14.4%
Jackie Young (Aces) 🔒
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) 🔒
Kahleah Copper (Mercury) 🔒
Aliyah Boston (Fever) 🔒
Jessica Shepard (Lynx) 🔒
Satou Sabally (Mercury) 🔒
Kayla McBride (Lynx) 🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket tonight is Kelsey Mitchell, with a probability of 16.1%.

Following Mitchell closely are A'ja Wilson at 14.9% and Courtney Williams at 14.4%.

Jackie Young and Alyssa Thomas are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Sunday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to today’s WNBA player projections and scroll across to the “FB” column to see every player’s probability of scoring the first basket.

A'ja Wilson makes a layup.
A'ja Wilson is one of the most likely WNBA players to score the first basket on Sunday, September 28, 2025.

Best WNBA first basket picks [9/28/2025]

Having simulated the outcome of today's WNBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Sunday.

Odyssey Sims first basket scorer

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Aces and Fever. The bet is on Odyssey Sims (IND) at odds of +1700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.3% according to our analysis.

Not only does Sims present an edge according to the model, but she is also among our top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

 

For more expert WNBA picks and data-driven WNBA predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to all of today's first basket predictions, plus projected box scores for every player—perfect for building smarter WNBA parlays.

WNBA Playoffs schedule for today [9/28/2025]

Conclusion

For September 28, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions spotlight standout players like Kelsey Mitchell, A'ja Wilson and Courtney Williams—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Odyssey Sims who emerges as the top play, offering a calculated 4.3% edge at +1700 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable base for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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