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WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday include A'ja Wilson, Kelsey Mitchell [9/21/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of Sunday's WNBA slate.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today.
Our WNBA first basket predictions for September 21, 2025, are based on Sunday's latest data and matchups.

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday, September 21, 2025, have landed—with A'ja Wilson of the Aces the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of WNBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [September 21, 2025]

Player (Team) FB Probability
A'ja Wilson (Aces) 16.7%
Napheesa Collier (Lynx) 15.4%
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) 12.9%
Aliyah Boston (Fever) 🔒
Kahleah Copper (Mercury) 🔒
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) 🔒
Courtney Williams (Lynx) 🔒
Jackie Young (Aces) 🔒
Satou Sabally (Mercury) 🔒
Kayla McBride (Lynx) 🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket today is A'ja Wilson, with a probability of 16.7%.

Following Wilson closely are Napheesa Collier at 15.4% and Kelsey Mitchell at 12.9%.

Aliyah Boston and Kahleah Copper are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Sunday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to today’s WNBA player projections and scroll across to the “FB” column to see every player’s probability of scoring the first basket.

Napheesa Collier shooting over Jewell Loyd.
Napheesa Collier is among the top contenders in the WNBA to score the first basket on Sunday, September 21, 2025.

Best WNBA first basket picks [9/21/2025]

Having simulated the result of today's WNBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has found the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Sunday.

Odyssey Sims first basket scorer

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Fever and Aces. The bet is on Odyssey Sims (IND) at odds of +1600 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.5% according to our analysis.

Although Sims doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Sunday's WNBA slate, she does present the best betting opportunity for those aiming to gain an edge on the market.

 

For more expert WNBA picks and data-driven WNBA predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to all of today's first basket predictions, plus projected box scores for every player—perfect for building smarter WNBA parlays.

WNBA Playoffs schedule for today [9/21/2025]

Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" — perfect for first basket betting

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Conclusion

For September 21, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions spotlight standout players including A'ja Wilson, Napheesa Collier and Kelsey Mitchell—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Odyssey Sims who emerges as the top play, producing a calculated 3.5% edge at +1600 odds.

These projections are the result of 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable foundation for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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