WNBA first basket predictions for Friday include Kelsey Mitchell, Napheesa Collier [9/26/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Friday, September 26, 2025, have landed—with Kelsey Mitchell of the Fever the most likely player to score the first basket according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's first basket predictions come straight from our WNBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [September 26, 2025]

Player (Team)	FB Probability
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)	16.2%
A'ja Wilson (Aces)	16.0%
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)	15.0%
Courtney Williams (Lynx)	🔒
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)	🔒
Jackie Young (Aces)	🔒
Aliyah Boston (Fever)	🔒
Kahleah Copper (Mercury)	🔒
Satou Sabally (Mercury)	🔒
Odyssey Sims (Fever)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket tonight is Kelsey Mitchell, with a probability of 16.2%.

Following Mitchell closely are A'ja Wilson at 16.0% and Napheesa Collier at 15.0%.

Courtney Williams and Alyssa Thomas are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Friday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to today’s WNBA player projections and scroll across to the “FB” column to see every player’s probability of scoring the first basket.

Best WNBA first basket picks [9/26/2025]

After simulating the outcome of today's WNBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has found the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Friday.

Odyssey Sims first basket scorer

• Odds: +1600
• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 10.1%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Friday, which is in the game between the Aces and Fever. The bet is on Odyssey Sims (IND) at odds of +1600 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.3% according to our analysis.

Our model not only features Sims for her 4.3% betting edge but also ranks her among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the above list.

For more expert WNBA picks and data-backed WNBA predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to all of today's first basket predictions, plus projected box scores for every player—perfect for building smarter WNBA parlays.

WNBA Playoffs schedule for today [9/26/2025]

• Aces vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Lynx vs. Mercury (9:30PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

For September 26, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions spotlight big-name players including Kelsey Mitchell, A'ja Wilson and Napheesa Collier—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Odyssey Sims who emerges as the top pick, producing a calculated 4.3% edge at +1600 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable starting point for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.