WNBA first basket predictions for Thursday include Napheesa Collier, A'ja Wilson [9/4/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Thursday, September 4, 2025, are live—with Napheesa Collier of the Lynx the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Thursday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of WNBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [September 4, 2025]

Player (Team)	FB Probability
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)	17.5%
A'ja Wilson (Aces)	17.3%
Paige Bueckers (Wings)	14.4%
Shakira Austin (Mystics)	🔒
Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)	🔒
Kahleah Copper (Mercury)	🔒
Courtney Williams (Lynx)	🔒
Sonia Citron (Mystics)	🔒
Amy Okonkwo (Wings)	🔒
Maddy Siegrist (Wings)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Napheesa Collier, with a probability of 17.5%.

Following Collier closely are A'ja Wilson at 17.3% and Paige Bueckers at 14.4%.

Shakira Austin and Kiki Iriafen are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Thursday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to today’s WNBA player projections and scroll across to the “FB” column to see every player’s probability of scoring the first basket.

Best WNBA first basket picks [9/4/2025]

After simulating the result of today's WNBA matchups thousands of times each, our predictive model has generated the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Thursday.

Amy Okonkwo first basket scorer

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 11.8%
• Game: Wings vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Thursday's WNBA slate in the game between the Wings and Valkyries. The bet is on Amy Okonkwo (DAL) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.7% according to our analysis.

Our model not only features Okonkwo for her 2.7% betting edge but also ranks her among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the above list.

For more expert WNBA picks and data-driven WNBA predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to all of today's first basket predictions, plus projected box scores for every player—perfect for building smarter WNBA parlays.

WNBA schedule for today [9/4/2025]

• Mercury vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Wings vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

For September 4, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions spotlight big-name players such as Napheesa Collier, A'ja Wilson and Paige Bueckers—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Amy Okonkwo who emerges as the top play, producing a calculated 2.7% edge at +1000 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable base for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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