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WNBA first basket predictions for Friday include Dearica Hamby, Kelsey Mitchell [9/5/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of Friday's WNBA slate.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today.
Our WNBA first basket predictions for September 5, 2025, are based on Friday's latest data and matchups.

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Friday, September 5, 2025, are live—with Dearica Hamby of the Sparks the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's first basket predictions come straight from our WNBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.




Who will score the first basket tonight? [September 5, 2025]

Player (Team)FB Probability
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)16.6%
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)15.6%
Brionna Jones (Dream)14.2%
Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)🔒
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)🔒
Aliyah Boston (Fever)🔒
Emma Meesseman (Liberty)🔒
Kelsey Plum (Sparks)🔒
Jonquel Jones (Liberty)🔒
Breanna Stewart (Liberty)🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Dearica Hamby, with a probability of 16.6%.

Following Hamby closely are Nneka Ogwumike at 15.6% and Brionna Jones at 14.2%.

Kamilla Cardoso and Kelsey Mitchell are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Friday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to today’s WNBA player projections and scroll across to the “FB” column to see every player’s probability of scoring the first basket.


Dearica Hamby dictating the play for the Sparks.
Dearica Hamby is one of the most likely WNBA players to score the first basket on Friday, September 5, 2025.


Best WNBA first basket picks [9/5/2025]

Having simulated the outcome of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model has discovered the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Friday.

Kelsey Mitchell first basket scorer

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Sky and Fever. The bet is on Kelsey Mitchell (IND) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.2% according to our analysis.

Not only does Mitchell present an edge according to our model, but she is also among our top five most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.


 


For more expert WNBA picks and data-led WNBA predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to all of today's first basket predictions, plus projected box scores for every player—perfect for building smarter WNBA parlays.




WNBA schedule for today [9/5/2025]

Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" — perfect for first basket betting

To make the most of our first basket picks, headlined by the strong betting edge on Kelsey Mitchell, check out the latest Bet365 bonus code of "DIMERS" that grants you $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet – win or lose.

Conclusion

For September 5, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions showcase standout players such as Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Brionna Jones—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Kelsey Mitchell who emerges as the top play, producing a calculated 2.2% edge at +800 odds.

These projections are the result of 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable base for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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