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Jets vs. Stars Prediction: Dallas Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [5/17/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars matchup.
The Dallas Stars will square off with the Winnipeg Jets in Game 1 of the 2025 NHL Eastern Conference Final at American Airlines Center on Saturday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Winnipeg-Dallas game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Stars are more likely to win, while the Jets have a lower chance of victory."
For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Jets vs. Stars predictions page.
Stars vs. Jets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL Playoffs game between the Jets and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Stars a 55% chance of beating the Jets in Game 1 of the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals.
According to our model, the Jets (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Jets vs. Stars Game 1 Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jets | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-200) | -1.5 (+170) |
| Moneyline | +128 | -150 |
| Total | o5.5 (+105) | u5.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Jets vs. Stars Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Jets vs. Stars matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Jets vs. Stars Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Jets vs. Stars?
According to our model, Dallas' Wyatt Johnston is most likely to score the first goal in Jets vs. Stars.
Our projections give Johnston a 6.8% chance of scoring the first goal at American Airlines Center, while the Stars star is a 33.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 6.6% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 6.5% |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 5.7% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 6.8% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 6.6% |
| Jason Robertson | 5.5% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 33.3% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 31.2% |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 28.4% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 33.2% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 33.0% |
| Roope Hintz | 28.0% |
Jets vs. Stars Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's action between the Stars and Jets in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
The winner of the NHL Eastern Conference Final will progress to the Stanley Cup Final. Game 1 of the best-of-seven series between the Jets and Stars is at Dallas' American Airlines Center.
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Jets vs. Stars matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Winnipeg vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Game 1 of the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jets vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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