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Jets vs. Stars Prediction: Dallas Predicted to Win Sunday's NHL Matchup [5/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars matchup.
The Dallas Stars and Winnipeg Jets will meet in the NHL Playoffs at American Airlines Center on Sunday, starting at 4:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Winnipeg-Dallas game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Stars with a win probability of 54%, while the Jets have 46%."
For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Jets vs. Stars predictions page.
Stars vs. Jets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL Playoffs game between the Jets and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Stars a 54% chance of beating the Jets.
According to our model, the Jets (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 51% chance of going over.
Jets vs. Stars Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jets | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-218) | -1.5 (+185) |
| Moneyline | +124 | -137 |
| Total | o5.5 (-110) | u5.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Jets vs. Stars Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Jets vs. Stars matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Jets vs. Stars Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Jets vs. Stars?
According to our model, Dallas' Wyatt Johnston is most likely to score the first goal in Jets vs. Stars.
Our projections give Johnston a 7.3% chance of scoring the first goal at American Airlines Center, while the Stars star is a 33.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 7.2% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 6.0% |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 5.1% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 7.3% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 6.9% |
| Roope Hintz | 5.5% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 34.0% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 29.8% |
| Mark Scheifele | 26.6% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 33.9% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 33.5% |
| Roope Hintz | 28.5% |
Jets vs. Stars Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's matchup between the Stars and Jets in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 4:30PM ET.
- Who: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Time: 4:30PM ET/1:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is the National Hockey League's annual elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Jets and Stars, reached the 2025 NHL Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Jets vs. Stars matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Winnipeg vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Jets on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jets vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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