Nationals vs. Phillies Prediction: Philadelphia Predicted to Win Thursday's MLB Matchup [5/1/2025]

MLB action continues on Thursday at 6:45PM ET as the Washington Nationals lock horns with the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

The Phillies will send Taijuan Walker (1-2, 2.78 ERA) to the mound, up against Brad Lord (0-3, 4.67 ERA) for the Nationals.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Washington-Philadelphia game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Phillies with a win probability of 61% and the Nationals with 39%."

For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Nationals vs. Phillies predictions page.

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Nationals and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 61% chance of beating the Nationals.

According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the 10-run over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Nationals vs. Phillies Odds [5/1/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Nationals	Phillies
Run Line	+1.5 (-128)	-1.5 (+115)
Moneyline	+150	-174
Total	o10 (-105)	u10 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Nationals vs. Phillies Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Nationals vs. Phillies matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Nationals vs. Phillies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB action between the Phillies and Nationals at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 6:45PM ET.

• Who: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025
• Time: 6:45PM ET/3:45PM PT
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Nationals vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Washington vs. Philadelphia picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

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Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nationals vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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