Nationals vs. Phillies prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/24/2025]

The Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals will meet in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, starting at 1:35PM ET.

The Phillies will send Ranger Suárez (9-6, 3.25 ERA) to the mound, while the Nationals have opted for Jake Irvin (8-8, 5.30 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Nationals-Phillies game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Phillies with a win probability of 71%, while the Nationals have 29%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Nationals vs. Phillies predictions page.

Phillies vs. Nationals prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Nationals and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 71% chance of defeating the Nationals.

According to our model, the Phillies (-1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Nationals vs. Phillies odds [8/24/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Nationals	Phillies
Run Line	+1.5 (+120)	-1.5 (-137)
Moneyline	+225	-268
Total	o9.5 (-115)	u9.5 (-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Nationals vs. Phillies picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Nationals vs. Phillies matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's free MLB picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.

Nationals vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Nationals at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 1:35PM ET.

• Who: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
• Time: 1:35PM ET/10:35AM PT
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Nationals vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Nationals vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nationals vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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