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Nationals vs. Phillies prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [8/23/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies predictions for MLB Saturday.

Washington Nationals-Philadelphia Phillies Predictions and Game Preview.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB prediction for Saturday, August 23, 2025.

The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Washington Nationals in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, commencing at 6:05PM ET.

The Phillies will start Aaron Nola (1-7, 6.92 ERA), up against Mitchell Parker (7-13, 5.83 ERA) for the Nationals.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Nationals vs. Phillies predictions page.

Phillies vs. Nationals prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Nationals and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 67% chance of defeating the Nationals.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Nationals and Phillies each have a 50% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 10.5 runs has a 54% chance of staying under.

 

Nationals vs. Phillies odds [8/23/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Nationals Phillies
Run Line +1.5 (+112) -1.5 (-130)
Moneyline +215 -250
Total o10.5 (-109) u10.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Nationals vs. Phillies picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Nationals vs. Phillies matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's best bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Nationals vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Nationals at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 6:05PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Nationals vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Nationals vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nationals vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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