Nationals vs. Marlins prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/11/2025]

The Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals will lock horns in MLB action at loanDepot park on Thursday, starting at 6:40PM ET.

The Marlins will have Ryan Weathers (1-1, 3.28 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against MacKenzie Gore (5-13, 4.15 ERA) for the Nationals.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Marlins as the most likely winner of today's game.

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Nationals vs. Marlins predictions page.

Marlins vs. Nationals prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Nationals and Marlins 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Marlins a 52% chance of beating the Nationals.

According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Nationals vs. Marlins odds [9/11/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Nationals	Marlins
Run Line	+1.5 (-192)	-1.5 (+166)
Moneyline	+110	-126
Total	o8 (-105)	u8 (-116)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Nationals vs. Marlins picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Nationals vs. Marlins matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's best bets today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Nationals vs. Marlins game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's MLB action between the Marlins and Nationals at loanDepot park is scheduled to commence at 6:40PM ET.

• Who: Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
• Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
• Time: 6:40PM ET/3:40PM PT
• Venue: loanDepot park

Dimers' in-depth preview of Thursday's Nationals vs. Marlins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Nationals vs. Marlins picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Marlins, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nationals vs. Marlins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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