Commanders vs. Packers prediction: Green Bay favored to win TNF Week 2, 2025

The Green Bay Packers will take on the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 2 action at Lambeau Field on Thursday, beginning at 8:15PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Packers as the most likely winner of today's game.

This updated Commanders vs. Packers betting preview builds on my Commanders vs. Packers prediction that was published earlier in the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Commanders vs. Packers predictions page.

Commanders vs. Packers Predictions

Since our Commanders-Packers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NFL matchup between the Commanders and Packers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Packers a 59% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 2 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 25-23.

According to our model, the Commanders (+3.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Commanders vs. Packers odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Commanders	Packers
Spread	+3.5 (-118)	-3.5 (+100)
Moneyline	+154	-176
Total	o48.5 (-105)	u48.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Boost your NFL betting by exploring the latest NFL betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.

Commanders vs. Packers picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Commanders vs. Packers matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Commanders vs. Packers TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Packers?

According to our model, Green Bay's Josh Jacobs is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Packers.

Our projections give Jacobs a 16.0% chance of getting in for six first at Lambeau Field, while the Packers running back is a 61.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	First TD Probability
Jayden Daniels (QB)	7.4%
Austin Ekeler (RB)	7.3%
Deebo Samuel (WR)	6.9%

Green Bay Packers

Player	First TD Probability
Josh Jacobs (RB)	16.0%
Jayden Reed (WR)	5.6%
Tucker Kraft (TE)	5.1%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jayden Daniels (QB)	35.0%
Austin Ekeler (RB)	34.5%
Deebo Samuel (WR)	33.0%

Green Bay Packers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Josh Jacobs (RB)	61.2%
Jayden Reed (WR)	28.0%
Tucker Kraft (TE)	26.0%

Commanders vs Packers player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Packers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Packers page now to access every player prop projection.

Commanders vs. Packers quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Packers' Jordan Love.

Commanders rushing

Jayden Daniels, Jacory Croskey-Merritt and Austin Ekeler are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.

Player	Position
Jayden Daniels	QB
Jacory Croskey-Merritt	RB
Austin Ekeler	RB

Packers rushing

Josh Jacobs, Chris Brooks and Jordan Love are expected to lead the Packers in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Josh Jacobs	RB
Chris Brooks	RB
Jordan Love	QB

Commanders receiving

Terry McLaurin, Deebo Samuel, Zach Ertz, Noah Brown and Austin Ekeler are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.

Player	Position
Terry McLaurin	WR
Deebo Samuel	WR
Zach Ertz	TE
Noah Brown	WR
Austin Ekeler	RB

Packers receiving

Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed, Tucker Kraft, Matthew Golden and Dontayvion Wicks are projected to lead the Packers in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Romeo Doubs	WR
Jayden Reed	WR
Tucker Kraft	TE
Matthew Golden	WR
Dontayvion Wicks	WR

Commanders vs. Packers game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 2 action between the Packers and Commanders at Lambeau Field is scheduled to begin at 8:15PM ET.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Green Bay Packers
• Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
• Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
• Venue: Lambeau Field

Dimers' full preview of Thursday's Commanders vs. Packers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Commanders vs. Packers picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

NFL Week 2 betting promos and codes

Make the most of Dimers' Commanders vs. Packers predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Sportsbook

Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.

Bet365 Sportsbook

Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets win or lose.

Sports betting deal available for Maryland sports fans

To make the most of Thursday's mammoth day of sports, headlined by this huge TNF matchup, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that scores you $300 in bonus bets from a $5 bet — win or lose. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict the Packers, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders in Week 2 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Packers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay informed with the latest NFL news and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.