Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons updated prediction featuring Terry McLaurin, Bijan Robinson [Week 4, 2025]

Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Atlanta Falcons and Washington Commanders in Week 4, with our model giving the Commanders a 57% of winning against the Falcons on Sunday.

This update builds on our early Falcons-Commanders predictions, providing updated win probabilities, score projections, and TD predictions for Terry McLaurin, Bijan Robinson, and more.

For the most accurate simulation-based insights—including spread and total picks, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—head to our Commanders vs. Falcons page.

What's changed? Washington vs. Atlanta updated predictions

Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Commanders vs. Falcons matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasted:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Commanders 57%, Falcons 43%
• Predicted Final Score: Commanders 23-21 Falcons
• Spread: Commanders (-1) 52%, Falcons (+1) 48%
• Total Points (45.5): Over 50%, Under 50%

As of September 25, 2025, these Commanders-Falcons numbers reflect changes since our early-week simulation.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New projections highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Commanders-Falcons on Sunday:

Washington Commanders

• Terry McLaurin: 36.0% probability
• Chris Rodriguez: 35.7% probability
• Deebo Samuel: 35.5% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Bijan Robinson: 56.2% probability
• Drake London: 32.6% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 24.3% probability

Commanders vs. Falcons latest odds

The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:

• Spread: Commanders -1 (-105), Falcons +1 (-115)
• Moneyline: Commanders -115, Falcons +105
• Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-108)

Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.

Commanders vs. Falcons Week 4 details

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Falcons and Commanders at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled for September 28, 2025.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Commanders, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Falcons in Week 4 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Commanders vs. Falcons matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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