Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons early prediction: Expert picks for NFL Week 4, 2025

The Washington Commanders and Atlanta Falcons will meet in Week 4 of the NFL season at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, September 28, 2025, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Early simulations from Dimers' trusted NFL model favor the Commanders as the most likely winner of this matchup.

For updates all week long, including best bets, player prop projections and touchdown probabilities, check out our interactive Commanders vs. Falcons predictions page.

Washington vs. Atlanta early predictions

Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Commanders vs. Falcons game 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:

• Straight up win probabilities: Commanders 62%, Falcons 38%
• Predicted final score: Commanders 25-22 Falcons
• Spread: Commanders (-3.5) 50%, Falcons (+3.5) 50%
• Total points (48.5): Over 50%, Under 50%

As of September 21, 2025, these Commanders-Falcons figures and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.

Commanders vs. Falcons Week 4 details

The NFL Week 4 game between the Falcons and Commanders at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled for September 28, 2025.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Commanders vs. Falcons opening odds

We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Week 4 game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Commanders -3.5 (-105), Falcons +3.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: Commanders -185, Falcons +154
• Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-115/-105)

Odds may continue to move—track live changes via our NFL odds page.

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Conclusion

We predict the Commanders, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Falcons in Week 4 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Commanders vs. Falcons matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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