Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [2/22/2024]

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Washington Capitals will lock horns in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Thursday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview for Thursday's Capitals vs. Lightning matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Capitals vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used innovative machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Lightning 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NHL picks.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 62% chance of beating the Capitals.

According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 54% chance of going under.

Capitals vs. Lightning Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Capitals	Lightning
Puck Line	+1.5 (-146)	-1.5 (+125)
Moneyline	+164	-190
Total	o6.5 (-105)	u6.5 (-112)

• The Lightning are currently -1.5 favorites against the Capitals, with +125 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the underdog Capitals (+1.5) to cover the puck line, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -146.
• BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -190, which means you can risk $190 to win $100 for a total payout of $290 if they get the W.
• DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Capitals at +164, where you can bet $100 to profit $164, earning a total payout of $264 if they win.
• The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while FanDuel currently has the best odds for the Under at -112.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Capitals vs. Lightning Picks

Our predictions, matched with the current odds, reveal the top betting picks for this game, detailed in Dimers' NHL best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Puck Line	Capitals +1.5	-146
Moneyline	Capitals	+164
Total	Under 6.5	-112

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, taking the Capitals moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Capitals vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Capitals vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Capitals vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Point an 8.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 39.4% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Washington Capitals

Player	First Goal Probability
T.J. Oshie	5.4%
Alex Ovechkin	5.0%
Dylan Strome	4.7%
Max Pacioretty	4.4%
John Carlson	3.0%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Brayden Point	8.1%
Nikita Kucherov	8.0%
Brandon Hagel	7.5%
Steven Stamkos	6.3%
Anthony Cirelli	3.5%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Washington Capitals

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
T.J. Oshie	29.3%
Dylan Strome	26.5%
Alex Ovechkin	25.2%
Max Pacioretty	23.6%
Tom Wilson	19.5%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	39.4%
Nikita Kucherov	37.3%
Brandon Hagel	36.4%
Steven Stamkos	31.7%
Anthony Cirelli	18.7%

Caps vs. Lightning Game Information

Thursday's action between the Lightning and Capitals at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Thursday February 22, 2024
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

Our full betting coverage of Capitals vs. Lightning includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Conclusion

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate Capitals vs. Lightning insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

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