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Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [3/7/2024]

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Written by Dimers Data
Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [3/7/2024]

The Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Washington Capitals in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview for Thursday's Capitals vs. Penguins matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

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Capitals vs. Penguins Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used innovative machine learning and statistics to simulate the outcome of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Penguins 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NHL picks.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Penguins a 60% chance of defeating the Capitals.

According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 57% chance of going under.

Capitals vs. Penguins Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Capitals Penguins
Puck Line +1.5 (-164) -1.5 (+145)
Moneyline +146 -175
Total o6.5 (+106) u6.5 (-130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Capitals vs. Penguins Picks

Our predictions, matched with the available odds, reveal the top betting picks for this game, detailed in Dimers' NHL best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Capitals +1.5 -164
Moneyline Capitals +146
Total Under 6.5 -130

While the Penguins are more likely to win the game, taking the Capitals moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Capitals vs. Penguins Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Pittsburgh's Sidney Crosby is most likely to score the first goal in Capitals vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Crosby an 8.6% chance of scoring the first goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the Penguins star is a 39.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Washington Capitals

Player First Goal Probability
Max Pacioretty 5.8%
Dylan Strome 4.6%
Alex Ovechkin 4.2%
Tom Wilson 4.2%
Hendrix Lapierre 4.1%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby 8.6%
Rickard Rakell 6.8%
Evgeni Malkin 5.6%
Reilly Smith 5.3%
Lars Eller 4.5%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Washington Capitals

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Max Pacioretty 27.6%
Dylan Strome 26.5%
Alex Ovechkin 24.6%
Tom Wilson 21.9%
Hendrix Lapierre 21.7%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby 39.8%
Rickard Rakell 32.2%
Reilly Smith 30.0%
Evgeni Malkin 27.6%
Lars Eller 21.8%

Caps vs. Penguins Game Information

Thursday's matchup between the Penguins and Capitals at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

 

Our full betting coverage of Capitals vs. Penguins includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Conclusion

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate Capitals vs. Penguins insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay up-to-date with the most recent NHL betting news and our analytics-driven NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the most up-to-date numbers and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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