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Vikings vs. Dolphins Week 6 Prediction and Odds - Oct 16, 2022

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Written by Dimers Data
Vikings vs. Dolphins Week 6 Prediction and Odds - Oct 16, 2022

The Miami Dolphins and Minnesota Vikings clash in Week 6 of the NFL season at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Vikings vs. Dolphins, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

 

Who will win Vikings vs. Dolphins?

Using cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Vikings-Dolphins NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Vikings a 58% chance of beating the Dolphins in Week 6 of the NFL season.

More: Vikings vs. Dolphins Simulated 10,000 Times

Vikings vs. Dolphins Odds

  • Spread: Dolphins +3.5 (-110), Vikings -3.5 (+100)
  • Moneyline: Dolphins +150, Vikings -164
  • Total: Over/Under 46 (-107/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Dolphins are +3.5 underdogs versus the Vikings, with -110 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the favored Vikings (-3.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at +100.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at +150. That means you can bet $100 to profit $150, earning a total payout of $250, if they win.

Meanwhile, Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Vikings at -164, where you can risk $164 to win $100, for a total payout of $264, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 46 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, make sure you check all the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Dolphins (+3.5) are a 61% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 46 points is a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Track Your Bets via Bet Center

Best Bets for Vikings vs. Dolphins

 

If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets today across any sport.

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

While the Vikings are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Dolphins moneyline is the best option due to the 1.6% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Vikings vs. Dolphins Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Minnesota vs. Miami at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 6 has the Vikings winning 23-21.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Vikings-Dolphins matchup in Week 6, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live updates.

Vikings vs. Dolphins Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Vikings vs. Dolphins? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Vikings and Dolphins, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Minnesota's Dalvin Cook is most likely to score the first TD in Vikings vs. Dolphins.

DimersBOT gives Cook a 13.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Vikings RB is a 54.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Minnesota Vikings

  • Dalvin Cook: 13.9% probability
  • Justin Jefferson: 13.0% probability
  • Adam Thielen: 7.5% probability
  • Irv Smith: 5.9% probability
  • Alexander Mattison: 3.8% probability

Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill: 9.4% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 7.2% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 7.0% probability
  • Trent Sherfield: 3.5% probability
  • Mike Gesicki: 3.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Minnesota Vikings

  • Dalvin Cook: 54.9% probability
  • Justin Jefferson: 51.8% probability
  • Adam Thielen: 33.3% probability
  • Irv Smith: 26.8% probability
  • Alexander Mattison: 16.8% probability

Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill: 40.5% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 32.8% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 31.9% probability
  • Trent Sherfield: 16.5% probability
  • Mike Gesicki: 16.1% probability

Vikings-Dolphins Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Kirk Cousins is projected to have a big game with 275 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Skylar Thompson is expected to throw for 223 yards.

Vikings Starting QB

  • Kirk Cousins: 275 projected yards

Dolphins Starting QB

  • Skylar Thompson: 223 projected yards

Vikings Rushing

  • Dalvin Cook: 84 projected yards
  • Alexander Mattison: 21 projected yards
  • Kirk Cousins: 8 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing

  • Raheem Mostert: 62 projected yards
  • Chase Edmonds: 23 projected yards
  • Myles Gaskin: 15 projected yards

Vikings Receiving

  • Justin Jefferson: 109 projected yards
  • Adam Thielen: 56 projected yards
  • K.J. Osborn: 36 projected yards
  • Irv Smith: 30 projected yards
  • Johnny Mundt: 18 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving

  • Tyreek Hill: 80 projected yards
  • Jaylen Waddle: 65 projected yards
  • Cedrick Wilson: 28 projected yards
  • Mike Gesicki: 27 projected yards
  • Durham Smythe: 18 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Vikings vs. Dolphins on Sunday October 16, 2022.

 

Vikings vs. Dolphins 2022

The NFL Week 6 action between the Dolphins and Vikings at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Miami Dolphins
  • Date: Sunday October 16, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

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Want more NFL analysis like this?

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That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds against its own probabilities to find value in the markets, which allows us to produce the most reliable NFL betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

It's only a click away, so why not see for yourself?

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Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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