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US Open Tennis Predictions: Friday best bets featuring Carlos Alcaraz on Day 6
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
The US Open is underway as the final grand slam of the year is up and rolling in Flushing, NY and we have your Day 6 guide to betting on the tournament.
The 2025 US Open continues in New York City on Friday, August 29 for Day 6 at Flushing Meadows. The fourth and final Grand Slam of the year runs through to Championship Sunday on September 7 and begins its third round of play on Friday. As the tournament advances, we have the latest US Open best bets and tennis predictions.
The Dimers model has gotten off to a hot start, including a 2-0 day on our best High Value bets from Day 3 of the US Open and nailing Jannik Sinner as our top bet on Day 5.
Some of the best in the world play today, including Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic in Men's singles, and Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini on the Women's side.
Add in Dimers’ biggest betting offering ever—expanded markets, new bet types, and broader sportsbook coverage—and there’s never been a better time to bet on the US Open.
Best Value Bets for Day 6 of the US Open - Friday, August 29
Dimers highlights “High Value” bets when favorable odds line up with strong probability.
Two wagers stand out on on Friday as bets with both High Value and over a 60.0% probability:
Carlos Alcaraz -8.5 Games vs. Luciano Darderi
- Court: Arthur Ashe Stadium
- Time: 11:30 AM ET
- Win Probability: 78.7%
- Edge: 21.3%
- Best Odds: -120 (Caesars Sportsbook)
This bet stands out as not only a highly favorable bet due to Carlos Alcaraz's elite talent, but as our highest probability of the day that isn't on a moneyline. The edge is massive if you play at the best odds of -120 on Caesars.
See our full match predictions for Alcaraz vs. Darderi on Friday..
Novak Djokovic -6.5 Games vs. Cameron Norrie
- Court: Arthur Ashe Stadium
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Win Probability: 70.7%
- Edge: 12.3%
- Best Odds: –140 (Caesars Sportsbook)
Another standout bet with a strong probability and favorable edge according to the Dimers tennis model. To see more bets from this match, view our full match predictions for Djokovic vs. Norrie.
To find more value bets, including some moneyline upsets and more, check out Dimers' Best Tennis Bets every day of the US Open.
Betting the US Open Smartly
The opening round is all about balance—taking advantage of sharp value edges while recognizing the volatility of early rounds. Heavy favorites like Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz look like strong bets to advance, while Dimers’ Day 6 “High Value” picks provide bettors with calculated opportunities. Keep an eye on tight matches like Jasmine Paolini vs. Marketa Vondrousova, where the win margin is razor thin.
With Flushing Meadows buzzing, the 2025 US Open is primed for drama, and Dimers is giving bettors every tool they need to play it smart.
Responsible Gambling
Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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