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Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights Prediction: Vegas Predicted to Win Wednesday's NHL Matchup [3/5/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights matchup.
NHL action continues on Wednesday at 10:00PM ET as the Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Toronto-Vegas game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Golden Knights' chance of winning at 58%, with the Maple Leafs at 42%."
For further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights predictions page.
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Maple Leafs vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Golden Knights 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Golden Knights a 58% chance of beating the Maple Leafs.
According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has a 51% chance of staying under.
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Maple Leafs | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (+145) |
| Moneyline | +150 | -175 |
| Total | o6 (-110) | u6 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Our model's strongest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights.
Our projections give Matthews an 8.6% chance of scoring the first goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 40.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 8.6% |
| William Nylander | 6.3% |
| Matthew Knies | 4.5% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jack Eichel | 7.5% |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 7.2% |
| Tomas Hertl | 6.3% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 40.8% |
| William Nylander | 30.5% |
| Matthew Knies | 23.3% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jack Eichel | 37.0% |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 36.1% |
| Tomas Hertl | 31.4% |
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's game between the Golden Knights and Maple Leafs at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights
- Date: Wednesday, March 5, 2025
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Toronto vs. Vegas picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Golden Knights, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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