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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. NY Islanders Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [1/11/2024]

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Written by Dimers Data
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. NY Islanders Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [1/11/2024]

The NY Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs are scheduled to meet in the NHL at UBS Arena on Thursday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for Thursday's Maple Leafs vs. Islanders matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used powerful machine learning and statistics to simulate the outcome of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Islanders 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NHL predictions.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Maple Leafs a 53% chance of defeating the Islanders.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 55% chance of going under.

This Toronto vs. NY Islanders betting preview is sponsored by BetMGM Sportsbook, which has an outstanding Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Maple Leafs Islanders
Puck Line -1.5 (+180) +1.5 (-210)
Moneyline -130 +112
Total o6.5 (-114) u6.5 (+100)
  • The Islanders are listed as +1.5 underdogs versus the Maple Leafs, with -210 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +180.
  • FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Islanders at +112. That means you can bet $100 to profit $112, earning a total payout of $212, if they win.
  • On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -130, where you can risk $130 to win $100 for a total payout of $230 if they come out on top.
  • The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -114, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check all of the legal sports betting sites that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Picks

By comparing our probabilities to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to place on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Islanders +1.5 -210
Moneyline Islanders +112
Total Under 6.5 +100

 

When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across all sports.

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, taking the Islanders moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

Dimers' NHL best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Islanders?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Islanders.

Our projections give Matthews an 11.1% chance of scoring the first goal at UBS Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 46.7% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 11.1%
William Nylander 6.5%
Mitchell Marner 6.1%
John Tavares 4.5%
Calle Jarnkrok 3.7%

NY Islanders

Player First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat 6.3%
Brock Nelson 6.1%
Anders Lee 5.2%
Mathew Barzal 3.9%
Kyle Palmieri 3.4%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 46.7%
William Nylander 31.3%
Mitchell Marner 28.4%
John Tavares 23.1%
Tyler Bertuzzi 20.1%

NY Islanders

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat 32.3%
Brock Nelson 32.0%
Anders Lee 26.0%
Mathew Barzal 20.1%
Kyle Palmieri 19.8%
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep an eye on this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of the Maple Leafs vs. Islanders on Thursday January 11, 2024.

Maple Leafs vs. Isles Game Information

Thursday's matchup between the Islanders and Maple Leafs at UBS Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

 

Our full betting coverage of Maple Leafs vs. Islanders includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live scores.

How to Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Islanders

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL today? We've listed the best available welcome offers in every legal betting state.

Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Thursday's Maple Leafs vs. Islanders game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' picks and predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Maple Leafs vs. Islanders predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NHL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the latest predictions and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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