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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [1/18/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens matchup.
The Montreal Canadiens will face the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Bell Centre on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toronto-Montreal game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Maple Leafs are more likely to win, while the Canadiens have a lower chance of victory."
For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens predictions page.
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Maple Leafs vs. Habs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's matchup between the Canadiens and Maple Leafs at Bell Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens
- Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Bell Centre
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Toronto vs. Montreal picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 55% chance of beating the Canadiens.
According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has a 51% chance of going over.
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Maple Leafs | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+170) | +1.5 (-205) |
| Moneyline | -140 | +126 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens.
Our projections give Matthews a 10.2% chance of scoring the first goal at Bell Centre, while the Maple Leafs star is a 45.8% chance of registering an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 10.2% |
| William Nylander | 6.7% |
| Matthew Knies | 5.9% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Patrik Laine | 6.2% |
| Cole Caufield | 5.7% |
| Nick Suzuki | 5.7% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 45.8% |
| William Nylander | 35.3% |
| Matthew Knies | 28.9% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Patrik Laine | 32.6% |
| Cole Caufield | 32.0% |
| Nick Suzuki | 29.1% |
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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