Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/16/2025]

Liga MX action continues on Saturday at 11:10PM ET as Pumas UNAM squares off with Toluca at Estadio Nemesio Díez.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM predictions page.

Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Toluca and Pumas UNAM 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 54.5% chance of Toluca winning, a 21.8% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 23.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of going over, according to our model.

Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Toluca	Pumas UNAM	Draw
-140	+390	+280

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-120	-102

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TOL 1-1 PUM	11.3%
TOL 1-0 PUM	11.3%
TOL 2-1 PUM	9.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.9% chance of the yes hitting, and a 48.1% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between Toluca and Pumas UNAM at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to start at 11:10PM ET.

• Who: Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM
• Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
• Time: 11:10PM ET/8:10PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 54.5% win probability on Saturday, Pumas UNAM has a 21.8% win probability, and there is a 23.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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