Toluca vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [9/24/2025]

Liga MX action continues on Wednesday at 10:00PM ET as Monterrey takes on Toluca at .

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Toluca-Monterrey game 10,000 times," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Toluca a 56.9% chance of winning, Monterrey a 22.2% chance, and a 20.9% chance of a draw."

For a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Monterrey predictions page.

Toluca vs. Monterrey prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Liga MX matchup between Toluca and Monterrey 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 56.9% chance of Toluca winning, a 22.2% chance for Monterrey, and a 20.9% chance of a draw.

Toluca vs. Monterrey odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market	Toluca	Monterrey	Draw
Moneyline	-185	+460	+340

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Toluca vs. Monterrey picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Toluca vs. Monterrey matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Monterrey: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Toluca win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TOL 2-1 MNT	9.7%
TOL 1-1 MNT	9.2%
TOL 2-0 MNT	7.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 62.5% chance that both Toluca and Monterrey score, and a 37.5% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Toluca vs. Monterrey game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's action between Toluca and Monterrey is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Toluca vs. Monterrey
• Date: Wednesday, September 24, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT

Dimers' full preview of Wednesday's Toluca vs. Monterrey matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Monterrey vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 56.9% win probability on Wednesday, Monterrey has a 22.2% win probability, and there is a 20.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Monterrey insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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