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Toluca vs. Mazatlan prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [9/27/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Toluca vs Mazatlan predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Toluca will square off with Mazatlan in Liga MX action on Saturday, beginning at 9:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.
For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Mazatlan predictions page.
Toluca vs. Mazatlan prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Toluca and Mazatlan 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 76.0% chance of Toluca winning, an 8.9% chance for Mazatlan, and a 15.0% chance of a draw.
Toluca vs. Mazatlan odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Toluca | Mazatlan | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -425 | +950 | +550 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Toluca vs. Mazatlan picks and best bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Toluca vs. Mazatlan matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Toluca vs. Mazatlan: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Toluca win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| TOL 2-0 MZA | 11.9% |
| TOL 3-0 MZA | 10.1% |
| TOL 1-0 MZA | 9.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.1% chance that both Toluca and Mazatlan score, and a 50.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Toluca vs. Mazatlan game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Toluca and Mazatlan is scheduled to start at 9:00PM ET.
- Who: Toluca vs. Mazatlan
- Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
Dimers' comprehensive preview of Saturday's Toluca vs. Mazatlan matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Mazatlan vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Toluca has a 76.0% win probability on Saturday, Mazatlan has an 8.9% win probability, and there is a 15.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Mazatlan insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on Liga MX
Keep up with the latest Liga MX news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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