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Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [5/14/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Tigres UANL vs Toluca matchup.
Tigres UANL and Toluca are scheduled to meet in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Universitario on Wednesday, with kickoff at 11:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Tigres UANL as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Tigres UANL-Toluca game 10,000 times," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.
"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Tigres UANL a 47.3% chance of winning, Toluca a 27.4% chance, and a 25.3% chance of a draw."
For further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Tigres UANL vs. Toluca predictions page.
Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Liga MX matchup between Tigres UANL and Toluca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 47.3% chance of Tigres UANL winning, a 27.4% chance for Toluca, and a 25.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Tigres UANL | Toluca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +100 | +320 | +225 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +110 | -152 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Tigres UANL vs. Toluca matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Tigres UANL vs. Toluca: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| TUA 1-1 TOL | 12% |
| TUA 1-0 TOL | 10.8% |
| TUA 2-1 TOL | 9.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.9% chance that both Tigres UANL and Toluca score, and a 47.1% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's game between Tigres UANL and Toluca at Estadio Universitario is scheduled to begin at 11:00PM ET.
- Who: Tigres UANL vs. Toluca
- Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
- Time: 11:00PM ET/8:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Universitario
Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Tigres UANL vs. Toluca matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Toluca vs. Tigres UANL picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Tigres UANL has a 47.3% win probability on Wednesday, Toluca has a 27.4% win probability, and there is a 25.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tigres UANL vs. Toluca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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