Rangers vs. Guardians prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/28/2025]

MLB action continues on Sunday at 3:10PM ET as the Texas Rangers take on the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field.

Logan Allen (8-11, 4.14 ERA) will start for the Guardians, pitting him against Patrick Corbin (7-11, 4.34 ERA) for the Rangers.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Guardians as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Rangers-Guardians game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Guardians with a win probability of 54%, while the Rangers have 46%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Rangers vs. Guardians predictions page.

Guardians vs. Rangers prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Rangers and Guardians 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Guardians a 54% chance of beating the Rangers.

According to our model, the Rangers (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 62% chance of going over.

Rangers vs. Guardians odds [9/28/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Rangers	Guardians
Run Line	+1.5 (-178)	-1.5 (+155)
Moneyline	+122	-143
Total	o7.5 (-105)	u7.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Rangers vs. Guardians picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Rangers vs. Guardians matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's best bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Rangers vs. Guardians game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB game between the Guardians and Rangers at Progressive Field is scheduled to commence at 3:10PM ET.

• Who: Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Time: 3:10PM ET/12:10PM PT
• Venue: Progressive Field

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Sunday's Rangers vs. Guardians matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Rangers vs. Guardians picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Guardians, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Rangers on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rangers vs. Guardians insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.