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Rays vs. Royals Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Thursday's MLB Matchup [6/26/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays-Kansas City Royals Predictions and Game Preview.
Kauffman Stadium sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals this Thursday.

The Kansas City Royals will square off with the Tampa Bay Rays, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Kauffman Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 2:10PM ET.

Michael Lorenzen (4-7, 4.81 ERA) will be on the bump for the Royals, up against Shane Baz (7-3, 4.79 ERA) for the Rays.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Rays as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Rays-Royals game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Rays with a win probability of 51% and the Royals with 49%."

For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Rays vs. Royals predictions page.

Royals vs. Rays Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Rays and Royals 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Rays a 51% chance of beating the Royals.

According to our model, the Royals (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the 10-run over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

 

Rays vs. Royals Odds [6/26/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Rays Royals
Run Line -1.5 (+127) +1.5 (-150)
Moneyline -120 +106
Total o10 (-115) u10 (-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Rays vs. Royals Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Rays vs. Royals matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Rays vs. Royals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB action between the Royals and Rays at Kauffman Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Rays vs. Royals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Rays vs. Royals picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Plus, with Missouri sports betting launching on December 1, 2025, Dimers is your trusted source for the latest updates and the best Missouri sports betting bonuses.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Rays, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Royals on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rays vs. Royals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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