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Rays vs. Astros Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Thursday's MLB Matchup [5/29/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays-Houston Astros Predictions and Game Preview.
Daikin Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and Houston Astros this Thursday.

The Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays will meet in MLB action at Daikin Park on Thursday, starting at 8:10PM ET.

The Astros will send Ryan Gusto (3-2, 4.58 ERA) to the mound, while the Rays are going with Shane Baz (4-3, 4.94 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Astros as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Tampa Bay-Houston game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Astros with a win probability of 53% and the Rays with 47%."

For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Rays vs. Astros predictions page.

Astros vs. Rays Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Rays and Astros 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Astros a 53% chance of beating the Rays.

According to our model, the 8.5-run over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

Rays vs. Astros Odds [5/29/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Rays Astros
Moneyline -102 -115
Total o8.5 (+102) u8.5 (-124)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Rays vs. Astros Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Rays vs. Astros matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Rays vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB game between the Astros and Rays at Daikin Park is scheduled to start at 8:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Rays vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Astros, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Rays on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rays vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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