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Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction: Boston Predicted to Win Saturday's MLB Matchup [7/12/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox matchup.
The Boston Red Sox will take on the Tampa Bay Rays in MLB action at Fenway Park on Saturday, starting at 4:10PM ET.
Garrett Crochet (9-4, 2.39 ERA) will be on the bump for the Red Sox, while the Rays will counter with Shane Baz (8-4, 4.34 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.
For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Rays vs. Red Sox predictions page.
Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB game between the Rays and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Red Sox a 63% chance of defeating the Rays.
According to our model, the Rays (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Rays vs. Red Sox Odds [7/12/2025]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-135) | -1.5 (+118) |
| Moneyline | +155 | -174 |
| Total | o8 (-105) | u8 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Rays vs. Red Sox Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Rays vs. Red Sox matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks
Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.
Rays vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's MLB action between the Red Sox and Rays at Fenway Park is scheduled to start at 4:10PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
- Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
- Time: 4:10PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: Fenway Park
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Rays vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Rays vs. Red Sox picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Rays on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rays vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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