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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. NY Islanders Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [2/8/2024]

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Written by Dimers Data
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. NY Islanders Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [2/8/2024]

The NY Islanders will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at UBS Arena on Thursday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview for Thursday's Lightning vs. Islanders matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Lightning and Islanders 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NHL predictions.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Islanders a 54% chance of defeating the Lightning.

According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 55% chance of going under.

Today's Tampa Bay vs. NY Islanders betting preview is brought to you by BetMGM Sportsbook, which has a Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Lightning vs. Islanders Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lightning Islanders
Puck Line +1.5 (-185) -1.5 (+164)
Moneyline +125 -150
Total o6.5 (-104) u6.5 (-110)
  • The Islanders are -1.5 favorites against the Lightning, with +164 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -185.
  • FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Islanders at -150, which means you can risk $150 to win $100 for a total payout of $250 if they get the W.
  • BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at +125, where you can bet $100 to profit $125, earning a total payout of $225 if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -104, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lightning vs. Islanders Picks

Our predictions matched with the listed odds reveal the top betting picks to make on this game, detailed in our our NHL best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Lightning +1.5 -185
Moneyline Lightning +125
Total Under 6.5 -110

 

While the Islanders are more likely to win the game, betting on the Lightning moneyline is the best option due to the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Lightning vs. Islanders Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Islanders?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Islanders.

Our projections give Point an 8.8% chance of scoring the first goal at UBS Arena, while the Lightning star is a 37.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 8.8%
Nikita Kucherov 6.5%
Steven Stamkos 6.0%
Brandon Hagel 4.4%
Nick Paul 3.6%

NY Islanders

Player First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat 8.1%
Brock Nelson 7.6%
Anders Lee 5.5%
Mathew Barzal 4.4%
Kyle Palmieri 4.0%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 37.1%
Nikita Kucherov 35.3%
Steven Stamkos 31.1%
Brandon Hagel 24.3%
Nick Paul 19.4%

NY Islanders

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat 38.8%
Brock Nelson 35.5%
Anders Lee 27.9%
Mathew Barzal 23.7%
Kyle Palmieri 21.2%

Lightning vs. Isles Game Information

Thursday's action between the Islanders and Lightning at UBS Arena is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.

 

Our full betting coverage of Lightning vs. Islanders includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.

Conclusion

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate Lightning vs. Islanders insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. Remember to gamble responsibly—advice available at 1-800-GAMBLER. Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay well-informed with the most recent NHL betting news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the most up-to-date numbers and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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