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Lightning vs. Red Wings Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [1/25/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings matchup.
The Detroit Red Wings will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Tampa Bay-Detroit game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Lightning are more likely to win, while the Red Wings have a lower chance of victory."
For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Red Wings predictions page.
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Lightning vs. Red Wings Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's action between the Red Wings and Lightning at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings
- Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Lightning vs. Red Wings matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Detroit picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Lightning vs. Red Wings Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Red Wings 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 56% chance of defeating the Red Wings.
According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under.
Lightning vs. Red Wings Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+180) | +1.5 (-215) |
| Moneyline | -135 | +118 |
| Total | o6.5 (+105) | u6.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lightning vs. Red Wings Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Lightning vs. Red Wings matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Lightning vs. Red Wings Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Red Wings?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Red Wings.
Our projections give Point a 9.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the Lightning star is a 43.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 9.1% |
| Jake Guentzel | 8.1% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.5% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin | 6.6% |
| Lucas Raymond | 6.2% |
| Alex DeBrincat | 5.8% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 43.1% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 38.8% |
| Jake Guentzel | 38.1% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Lucas Raymond | 35.3% |
| Dylan Larkin | 34.2% |
| Alex DeBrincat | 28.5% |
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Red Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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