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Lightning vs. Hurricanes Prediction: Carolina Predicted to Win Tuesday's NHL Matchup [3/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes matchup.
NHL action continues on Tuesday at 7:30PM ET as the Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Carolina Hurricanes at Lenovo Center.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Hurricanes as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Tampa Bay-Carolina game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Hurricanes with a win probability of 54%, compared to 46% for the Lightning."
For a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Hurricanes predictions page.
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Lightning vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Hurricanes 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Hurricanes a 54% chance of beating the Lightning.
According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Lightning vs. Hurricanes Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-220) | -1.5 (+190) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -125 |
| Total | o5.5 (-115) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Our model's strongest edge in today's Lightning vs. Hurricanes matchup is on the puck line.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Lightning vs. Hurricanes Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Hurricanes?
According to our model, Carolina's Seth Jarvis is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Hurricanes.
Our projections give Jarvis a 9.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Lenovo Center, while the Hurricanes star is a 43.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 6.7% |
| Jake Guentzel | 6.6% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 6.1% |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Seth Jarvis | 9.7% |
| Sebastian Aho | 8.6% |
| Taylor Hall | 3.9% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 33.0% |
| Jake Guentzel | 32.2% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 30.6% |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Seth Jarvis | 43.6% |
| Sebastian Aho | 40.1% |
| Taylor Hall | 21.6% |
Lightning vs. Canes Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Tuesday's matchup between the Hurricanes and Lightning at Lenovo Center is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina Hurricanes
- Date: Tuesday, March 11, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Lenovo Center
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Tuesday's Lightning vs. Hurricanes matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Carolina picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Hurricanes, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Lightning on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Hurricanes insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most accurate predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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