Steelers vs. Chiefs Predictions and Odds - Dec 26, 2021

The Kansas City Chiefs face the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 16 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:25PM EST.

Dimers' best betting picks for Steelers vs. Chiefs, plus our score prediction, best odds and player props, are featured in this article.

Who will win Steelers vs. Chiefs?

Using trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Steelers-Chiefs NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Chiefs an 82% chance of beating the Steelers.

MORE: Full Betting Guide for Steelers vs. Chiefs

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Chiefs are -10.5 favorites versus the Steelers, with -106 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds available.

For the underdog Steelers (+10.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook also has the best odds on offer at -114.

DraftKings Sportsbook has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -450. That means you can risk $450 to win $100, for a total payout of $550, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, BetMGM has the best moneyline odds for the Steelers at +375, where you can put down $100 to profit $375, earning a total payout of $475, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 44 with Caesars Sportsbook, which has the best odds for the Over at -110, while BetMGM has the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Steelers (+10.5) are a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 44 points is a 52% chance of going Over.

MORE: Predictions for Every NFL Week 16 Matchup

Best Bets for Steelers vs. Chiefs

• Spread: Steelers +10.5 at -114 with FanDuel Sportsbook (53% probability)
• Moneyline: Chiefs Win at -450 with DraftKings Sportsbook (82% probability)
• Over/Under: Over 44 at -110 with Caesars Sportsbook (52% probability)

Steelers vs. Chiefs Score Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Pittsburgh vs. Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday has the Chiefs winning 27-17.

Use our interactive widget below to view the latest Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline probabilities and odds for the game, and click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Steelers-Chiefs matchup, including pre-game predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Steelers vs. Chiefs Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Steelers vs. Chiefs? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Steelers and Chiefs, as well as projected player stats.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Tyreek Hill is most likely to score the first touchdown in Steelers vs. Chiefs.

DimersBOT gives Hill a 16.7% chance of getting in for six first at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs WR is a 58.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Steelers

• Najee Harris: 11.5% probability
• Diontae Johnson: 7.9% probability
• Chase Claypool: 6.2% probability
• Ray-Ray McCloud: 3.4% probability
• Eric Ebron: 2.5% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Tyreek Hill: 16.7% probability
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 10.4% probability
• Travis Kelce: 9.1% probability
• Darrel Williams: 6.7% probability
• Patrick Mahomes: 4.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Steelers

• Najee Harris: 45.3% probability
• Diontae Johnson: 35.7% probability
• Chase Claypool: 29.0% probability
• Ray-Ray McCloud: 16.1% probability
• James Washington: 11.9% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Tyreek Hill: 58.0% probability
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 42.4% probability
• Travis Kelce: 38.6% probability
• Darrel Williams: 27.2% probability
• Mecole Hardman: 19.4% probability

Projected Box Score

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Ben Roethlisberger is projected for 223 passing yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for a whopping 265 yards and 2.2 TDs.

Steelers Starting QB

• Ben Roethlisberger: 223 Passing Yards, 1.2 Passing TDs

Chiefs Starting QB

• Patrick Mahomes: 265 Passing Yards, 2.2 Passing TDs

Steelers Rushing

• Najee Harris: 77 Rushing Yards, 0.4 TDs
• Benny Snell: 13 Rushing Yards, 0.1 TDs
• Chase Claypool: 8 Rushing Yards, 0.1 TDs

Chiefs Rushing

• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 56 Rushing Yards, 0.4 TDs
• Darrel Williams: 26 Rushing Yards, 0.2 TDs
• Patrick Mahomes: 20 Rushing Yards, 0.2 TDs

Steelers Receiving

• Diontae Johnson: 79 Receiving Yards, 0.3 TDs
• Chase Claypool: 50 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs
• James Washington: 28 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs
• Najee Harris: 25 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs
• Ray-Ray McCloud: 23 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs

Chiefs Receiving

• Travis Kelce: 78 Receiving Yards, 0.5 TDs
• Tyreek Hill: 73 Receiving Yards, 0.8 TDs
• Mecole Hardman: 28 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs
• Byron Pringle: 22 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs
• Darrel Williams: 22 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this article for any changes to our betting analysis before Steelers vs. Chiefs on Sunday December 26, 2021.

Bet $10, Win $200 if Steelers or Chiefs Score a TD

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Note: when you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

Steelers vs. Chiefs 2021 Game Info

When do the Chiefs play the Steelers?

• Date: Sunday December 26, 2021
• Time: 4:25PM EST / 1:25PM PST
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

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